2022-based projected private household population by local authority, year and variant

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Standard shorthand is used in this table: [t] = total.

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Data valuesData descriptionYearAreaVariant
3,077,660 [t]Private household populationMid-year 2022WalesPrincipal Projection
68,399Private household populationMid-year 2022Isle of AngleseyPrincipal Projection
114,359Private household populationMid-year 2022GwyneddPrincipal Projection
112,546Private household populationMid-year 2022ConwyPrincipal Projection
94,991Private household populationMid-year 2022DenbighshirePrincipal Projection
154,370Private household populationMid-year 2022FlintshirePrincipal Projection
132,711Private household populationMid-year 2022WrexhamPrincipal Projection
132,532Private household populationMid-year 2022PowysPrincipal Projection
68,315Private household populationMid-year 2022CeredigionPrincipal Projection
122,810Private household populationMid-year 2022PembrokeshirePrincipal Projection
186,850Private household populationMid-year 2022CarmarthenshirePrincipal Projection
237,602Private household populationMid-year 2022SwanseaPrincipal Projection
139,092Private household populationMid-year 2022Neath Port TalbotPrincipal Projection
143,505Private household populationMid-year 2022BridgendPrincipal Projection
132,015Private household populationMid-year 2022Vale of GlamorganPrincipal Projection
354,398Private household populationMid-year 2022CardiffPrincipal Projection
237,385Private household populationMid-year 2022Rhondda Cynon TafPrincipal Projection
58,419Private household populationMid-year 2022Merthyr TydfilPrincipal Projection
175,236Private household populationMid-year 2022CaerphillyPrincipal Projection
66,584Private household populationMid-year 2022Blaenau GwentPrincipal Projection
92,324Private household populationMid-year 2022TorfaenPrincipal Projection
92,587Private household populationMid-year 2022MonmouthshirePrincipal Projection
160,631Private household populationMid-year 2022NewportPrincipal Projection
3,111,450 [t]Private household populationMid-year 2023WalesPrincipal Projection
68,505Private household populationMid-year 2023Isle of AngleseyPrincipal Projection
116,708Private household populationMid-year 2023GwyneddPrincipal Projection
112,929Private household populationMid-year 2023ConwyPrincipal Projection
95,737Private household populationMid-year 2023DenbighshirePrincipal Projection
154,808Private household populationMid-year 2023FlintshirePrincipal Projection
133,406Private household populationMid-year 2023WrexhamPrincipal Projection
133,086Private household populationMid-year 2023PowysPrincipal Projection
68,631Private household populationMid-year 2023CeredigionPrincipal Projection
123,858Private household populationMid-year 2023PembrokeshirePrincipal Projection
188,281Private household populationMid-year 2023CarmarthenshirePrincipal Projection
242,353Private household populationMid-year 2023SwanseaPrincipal Projection
139,724Private household populationMid-year 2023Neath Port TalbotPrincipal Projection
144,491Private household populationMid-year 2023BridgendPrincipal Projection
133,788Private household populationMid-year 2023Vale of GlamorganPrincipal Projection
363,560Private household populationMid-year 2023CardiffPrincipal Projection
240,149Private household populationMid-year 2023Rhondda Cynon TafPrincipal Projection
58,584Private household populationMid-year 2023Merthyr TydfilPrincipal Projection
175,511Private household populationMid-year 2023CaerphillyPrincipal Projection
66,972Private household populationMid-year 2023Blaenau GwentPrincipal Projection
93,063Private household populationMid-year 2023TorfaenPrincipal Projection
93,352Private household populationMid-year 2023MonmouthshirePrincipal Projection
163,954Private household populationMid-year 2023NewportPrincipal Projection
3,139,992 [t]Private household populationMid-year 2024WalesPrincipal Projection
68,679Private household populationMid-year 2024Isle of AngleseyPrincipal Projection
118,063Private household populationMid-year 2024GwyneddPrincipal Projection
113,379Private household populationMid-year 2024ConwyPrincipal Projection
96,486Private household populationMid-year 2024DenbighshirePrincipal Projection
155,250Private household populationMid-year 2024FlintshirePrincipal Projection
134,228Private household populationMid-year 2024WrexhamPrincipal Projection
133,720Private household populationMid-year 2024PowysPrincipal Projection
69,051Private household populationMid-year 2024CeredigionPrincipal Projection
124,934Private household populationMid-year 2024PembrokeshirePrincipal Projection
189,719Private household populationMid-year 2024CarmarthenshirePrincipal Projection
246,475Private household populationMid-year 2024SwanseaPrincipal Projection
140,467Private household populationMid-year 2024Neath Port TalbotPrincipal Projection
145,474Private household populationMid-year 2024BridgendPrincipal Projection
135,553Private household populationMid-year 2024Vale of GlamorganPrincipal Projection
369,593Private household populationMid-year 2024CardiffPrincipal Projection
242,190Private household populationMid-year 2024Rhondda Cynon TafPrincipal Projection
58,724Private household populationMid-year 2024Merthyr TydfilPrincipal Projection
175,864Private household populationMid-year 2024CaerphillyPrincipal Projection
67,302Private household populationMid-year 2024Blaenau GwentPrincipal Projection
93,839Private household populationMid-year 2024TorfaenPrincipal Projection
94,147Private household populationMid-year 2024MonmouthshirePrincipal Projection
166,852Private household populationMid-year 2024NewportPrincipal Projection
3,154,189 [t]Private household populationMid-year 2025WalesPrincipal Projection
68,800Private household populationMid-year 2025Isle of AngleseyPrincipal Projection
118,591Private household populationMid-year 2025GwyneddPrincipal Projection
113,570Private household populationMid-year 2025ConwyPrincipal Projection
96,918Private household populationMid-year 2025DenbighshirePrincipal Projection
155,633Private household populationMid-year 2025FlintshirePrincipal Projection
134,208Private household populationMid-year 2025WrexhamPrincipal Projection
134,139Private household populationMid-year 2025PowysPrincipal Projection
69,393Private household populationMid-year 2025CeredigionPrincipal Projection
125,731Private household populationMid-year 2025PembrokeshirePrincipal Projection
190,774Private household populationMid-year 2025CarmarthenshirePrincipal Projection
247,120Private household populationMid-year 2025SwanseaPrincipal Projection
140,808Private household populationMid-year 2025Neath Port TalbotPrincipal Projection
146,255Private household populationMid-year 2025BridgendPrincipal Projection
136,881Private household populationMid-year 2025Vale of GlamorganPrincipal Projection
372,637Private household populationMid-year 2025CardiffPrincipal Projection
243,069Private household populationMid-year 2025Rhondda Cynon TafPrincipal Projection
58,751Private household populationMid-year 2025Merthyr TydfilPrincipal Projection
176,032Private household populationMid-year 2025CaerphillyPrincipal Projection
67,380Private household populationMid-year 2025Blaenau GwentPrincipal Projection
94,469Private household populationMid-year 2025TorfaenPrincipal Projection
94,820Private household populationMid-year 2025MonmouthshirePrincipal Projection
168,212Private household populationMid-year 2025NewportPrincipal Projection
3,168,941 [t]Private household populationMid-year 2026WalesPrincipal Projection
68,942Private household populationMid-year 2026Isle of AngleseyPrincipal Projection
119,168Private household populationMid-year 2026GwyneddPrincipal Projection
113,805Private household populationMid-year 2026ConwyPrincipal Projection
97,389Private household populationMid-year 2026DenbighshirePrincipal Projection
156,023Private household populationMid-year 2026FlintshirePrincipal Projection
134,221Private household populationMid-year 2026WrexhamPrincipal Projection
134,592Private household populationMid-year 2026PowysPrincipal Projection
Showing 1 to 100 of 3,588 rows
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Next update expected:This dataset is not expected to be updated, but is expected to be replaced in the future

Updates

23rd January 2026
Dataset first published.

Main information

Designation
Accredited official statistics
Data provider 1
Welsh Government
Data source 1
Population projections for local authorities in Wales
Data provider 2
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data source 2
2001 Census
Data provider 3
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data source 3
2011 Census
Data provider 4
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data source 4
2021 Census

Overview

Summary of dataset and variables

This dataset shows private household population projections for Wales. It provides an indication of the future number of people living in private households. The projections span the period mid-2022 to mid-2047. They are not a prediction or forecast of housing need in the future. Instead, they show what might happen if past trends continue.

The dataset comprises projected private household population numbers for each mid-year, area and variant.

For the variants, there is a principal projection and five additional variant projections. These variants are based on different assumptions about fertility, mortality, and migration trends. They include low population, high population, a 10-year average migration variant, a 15-year average migration variant and a zero migration variant.

Data collection or calculation

The private household population projections for Wales are produced by Knowledge and Analytical Services, Welsh Government.

Private household population projections are subject to uncertainty and are based on assumptions about future population and household composition. They are not forecasts and do not attempt to predict the impact that future government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors, such as the number of homes built, may have on the private household population. Instead, they indicate how the private household population might change if the population of Wales continues to change as it did between mid-2018 and mid-2022, and keeps forming households as it did between 2001, 2011 and 2021.

These projections use data about household membership rates from the latest available censuses of the population and apply them to the latest local authority population projections.

Private household population projections may differ from published private household population estimates now and in the near future. We recommend using the most recent private household population estimates for all years where they are available.

The methodology has been developed in conjunction with the Wales Sub-national Projections group (WaSP). Members of WaSP include representatives with experience of demographic and housing data from Welsh local authorities, Data Cymru and the Welsh Government.

We have made some changes to the methods for calculating these projections. Further information can be found in the local authority household projections release.

Statistical quality

The projections are based on assumptions about future trends. They are not forecasts and will differ from actual outcomes.

For more information on the statistical quality, see the statistical release linked in 'Related reports'. This release explains the methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Related reports

Published by

Organisation
Welsh Government
Contact email
stats.popcensus@gov.wales

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