2022-based projected private household population by local authority, year and variant

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Data descriptionShown in tablePrivate household populationValue cannot be changed
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Table

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Data valuesData descriptionYearAreaVariant
3,077,660 [t]Private household populationMid-year 2022WalesPrincipal Projection
68,399Private household populationMid-year 2022Isle of AngleseyPrincipal Projection
114,359Private household populationMid-year 2022GwyneddPrincipal Projection
112,546Private household populationMid-year 2022ConwyPrincipal Projection
94,991Private household populationMid-year 2022DenbighshirePrincipal Projection
154,370Private household populationMid-year 2022FlintshirePrincipal Projection
132,711Private household populationMid-year 2022WrexhamPrincipal Projection
132,532Private household populationMid-year 2022PowysPrincipal Projection
68,315Private household populationMid-year 2022CeredigionPrincipal Projection
122,810Private household populationMid-year 2022PembrokeshirePrincipal Projection
186,850Private household populationMid-year 2022CarmarthenshirePrincipal Projection
237,602Private household populationMid-year 2022SwanseaPrincipal Projection
139,092Private household populationMid-year 2022Neath Port TalbotPrincipal Projection
143,505Private household populationMid-year 2022BridgendPrincipal Projection
132,015Private household populationMid-year 2022Vale of GlamorganPrincipal Projection
354,398Private household populationMid-year 2022CardiffPrincipal Projection
237,385Private household populationMid-year 2022Rhondda Cynon TafPrincipal Projection
58,419Private household populationMid-year 2022Merthyr TydfilPrincipal Projection
175,236Private household populationMid-year 2022CaerphillyPrincipal Projection
66,584Private household populationMid-year 2022Blaenau GwentPrincipal Projection
92,324Private household populationMid-year 2022TorfaenPrincipal Projection
92,587Private household populationMid-year 2022MonmouthshirePrincipal Projection
160,631Private household populationMid-year 2022NewportPrincipal Projection
3,111,450 [t]Private household populationMid-year 2023WalesPrincipal Projection
68,505Private household populationMid-year 2023Isle of AngleseyPrincipal Projection
Showing 1 to 25 of 3,588 rows
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Metadata

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Next update expected:This dataset is not expected to be updated, but is expected to be replaced in the future

Updates

23rd January 2026
Dataset first published.

Main information

Designation
Accredited official statistics
Data provider 1
Welsh Government
Data source 1
Population projections for local authorities in Wales
Data provider 2
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data source 2
2001 Census
Data provider 3
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data source 3
2011 Census
Data provider 4
Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Data source 4
2021 Census

Overview

Summary of dataset and variables

This dataset shows private household population projections for Wales. It provides an indication of the future number of people living in private households. The projections span the period mid-2022 to mid-2047. They are not a prediction or forecast of housing need in the future. Instead, they show what might happen if past trends continue.

The dataset comprises projected private household population numbers for each mid-year, area and variant.

For the variants, there is a principal projection and five additional variant projections. These variants are based on different assumptions about fertility, mortality, and migration trends. They include low population, high population, a 10-year average migration variant, a 15-year average migration variant and a zero migration variant.

Data collection or calculation

The private household population projections for Wales are produced by Knowledge and Analytical Services, Welsh Government.

Private household population projections are subject to uncertainty and are based on assumptions about future population and household composition. They are not forecasts and do not attempt to predict the impact that future government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors, such as the number of homes built, may have on the private household population. Instead, they indicate how the private household population might change if the population of Wales continues to change as it did between mid-2018 and mid-2022, and keeps forming households as it did between 2001, 2011 and 2021.

These projections use data about household membership rates from the latest available censuses of the population and apply them to the latest local authority population projections.

Private household population projections may differ from published private household population estimates now and in the near future. We recommend using the most recent private household population estimates for all years where they are available.

The methodology has been developed in conjunction with the Wales Sub-national Projections group (WaSP). Members of WaSP include representatives with experience of demographic and housing data from Welsh local authorities, Data Cymru and the Welsh Government.

We have made some changes to the methods for calculating these projections. Further information can be found in the local authority household projections release.

Statistical quality

The projections are based on assumptions about future trends. They are not forecasts and will differ from actual outcomes.

For more information on the statistical quality, see the statistical release linked in 'Related reports'. This release explains the methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Rounding applied

Data are rounded independently to the nearest whole number and may not add exactly.

Related reports

Published by

Organisation
Welsh Government
Contact email
stats.popcensus@gov.wales