Average annual estimates of housing need (2019-based) by region, variant, tenure and year (5 year period)

Data values	Data description	Year	Region	Tenure
5,540	Central Estimate	2024/25 - 2028/29	Wales	Total
4,794	Central Estimate	2029/30 - 2033/34	Wales	Total
7,366	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Total
4,311	Central Estimate	2034/35 - 2038/39	Wales	Total
3,856	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Market
3,510	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Affordable
643	Central Estimate	2029/30 - 2033/34	North Wales	Total
1,231	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Total
810	Central Estimate	2024/25 - 2028/29	North Wales	Total
557	Central Estimate	2034/35 - 2038/39	North Wales	Total
575	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Market
656	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Affordable
75	Central Estimate	2029/30 - 2033/34	Mid Wales	Total
133	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Total
128	Central Estimate	2024/25 - 2028/29	Mid Wales	Total
32	Central Estimate	2034/35 - 2038/39	Mid Wales	Total
52	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Market
81	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Affordable
1,311	Central Estimate	2024/25 - 2028/29	South West Wales	Total
1,041	Central Estimate	2034/35 - 2038/39	South West Wales	Total
1,120	Central Estimate	2029/30 - 2033/34	South West Wales	Total
1,642	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Total
914	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Market
729	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Affordable
2,681	Central Estimate	2034/35 - 2038/39	South East Wales	Total
4,358	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Total
2,956	Central Estimate	2029/30 - 2033/34	South East Wales	Total
3,291	Central Estimate	2024/25 - 2028/29	South East Wales	Total
2,262	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Market
2,097	Central Estimate	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Affordable
8,336	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Total
7,156	Higher Variant	2034/35 - 2038/39	Wales	Total
7,113	Higher Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	Wales	Total
6,974	Higher Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	Wales	Total
4,457	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Market
3,878	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Affordable
1,177	Higher Variant	2034/35 - 2038/39	North Wales	Total
1,443	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Total
1,148	Higher Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	North Wales	Total
1,115	Higher Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	North Wales	Total
700	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Market
743	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Affordable
217	Higher Variant	2034/35 - 2038/39	Mid Wales	Total
213	Higher Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	Mid Wales	Total
227	Higher Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	Mid Wales	Total
194	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Total
91	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Market
103	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Affordable
1,655	Higher Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	South West Wales	Total
1,603	Higher Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	South West Wales	Total
1,858	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Total
1,678	Higher Variant	2034/35 - 2038/39	South West Wales	Total
1,049	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Market
809	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Affordable
4,839	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Total
4,085	Higher Variant	2034/35 - 2038/39	South East Wales	Total
4,084	Higher Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	South East Wales	Total
4,044	Higher Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	South East Wales	Total
2,555	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Market
2,284	Higher Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Affordable
6,154	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Total
3,467	Lower Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	Wales	Total
585	Lower Variant	2034/35 - 2038/39	Wales	Total
1,985	Lower Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	Wales	Total
3,105	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Market
3,049	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Wales	Affordable
368	Lower Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	North Wales	Total
60	Lower Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	North Wales	Total
968	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Total
420	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Market
549	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	North Wales	Affordable
14	Lower Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	Mid Wales	Total
67	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Total
10	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Market
56	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	Mid Wales	Affordable
201	Lower Variant	2034/35 - 2038/39	South West Wales	Total
860	Lower Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	South West Wales	Total
497	Lower Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	South West Wales	Total
1,376	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Total
746	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Market
629	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South West Wales	Affordable
2,234	Lower Variant	2024/25 - 2028/29	South East Wales	Total
835	Lower Variant	2034/35 - 2038/39	South East Wales	Total
3,749	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Total
1,546	Lower Variant	2029/30 - 2033/34	South East Wales	Total
1,890	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Market
1,859	Lower Variant	2019/20 - 2023/24	South East Wales	Affordable

Next update expected:This dataset is not expected to be updated, but is expected to be replaced in the future

Updates

• 16th January 2026: Dataset first published.

Main information

• Designation: Official statistics
• Data provider 1: Office for National Statistics (ONS)
• Data source 1: 2011 Census
• Data provider 2: Welsh Government
• Data source 2: Homelessness data collection
• Data provider 3: Welsh Government
• Data source 3: Household estimates for Wales

Overview

• Summary of dataset and variables:

  These are 2019-based estimates of overall additional housing need in Wales. They are based on estimates of existing unmet need and newly arising need. The estimates cover 20 years at both a national and a regional level and are presented as an annual average over a 5-year period. Estimates of additional housing need by tenure are for the period 2019/20 to 2023/24 only. The sum of the newly arising need for the four regions may differ from that for Wales due to rounding differences. Also, for some years under the lower variant, for North and Mid Wales the newly arising need is negative. This is set to zero within the region but included within the Wales newly arising need resulting in the Wales figure being lower than the sum of the four regions’ newly arising need.

• Data collection or calculation:

  2018-based household projections have been used to calculate newly arising need. Existing unmet need is calculated from the 2011 census and households in temporary accommodation. Estimates of the need for additional housing units by tenure are based on a set of assumptions (see related article for further information).

• Statistical quality:

  Please find this information in the related statistical publication, as per the given weblink.

• Related reports:
  • Estimates of housing need: 2019-based

Published by

• Organisation: Welsh Government
• Contact email: stats.housing@gov.wales

Metadata

The metadata for this dataset is not included when you download the data. You can download this separately. This contains all the information from the 'About this dataset' tab.